My Mesa

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Hmm. What do I want?

I want $10,000 cash available for trading.

I would then make lots of $100 investments.

It's not possible to use stops when making $100 investments, or bets. The stock needs to gain the better part of 100% to make you any money at all.

PBMD at the open at the market. Good for a $100 bet. Stops mean nothing when you're only betting $100. The patterns mean nothing. They're just suggestions.
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Or how about this, OPXA. Fantastic pattern, but here's the thing: it could just as easily go down a bunch. It's for day traders (or financial analysts) only.
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Liberation

Foreword by Charles Tart, $20 paperback. More and more this looks of the utmost importance to me, plus, fun. Qiuckly, I did it, visiting a series of computer labs. But, I was intruding. I asked to visit with an angel, one with connections in publishing, and she said "Well, what's next? Where do you link to from here?

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nifty

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<a href="https://www.amazon.com/Abundance-Book-Lawrence-Crane/dp/0971175500/ref=as_li_ss_il?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1482962262&sr=1-1&keywords=the+release+technique&linkCode=li1&tag=beadglit-20&linkId=79232061edd55fda578e792cfc3d7bde" target="_blank"><img border="0" src="//ws-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/q?_encoding=UTF8&ASIN=0971175500&Format=_SL110_&ID=AsinImage&MarketPlace=US&ServiceVersion=20070822&WS=1&tag=beadglit-20" ></a><img src="https://ir-na.amazon-adsystem.com/e/ir?t=beadglit-20&l=li1&o=1&a=0971175500" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /></div>
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<a href="http://amzn.to/2iFGBly" style="color:lime" target="_blank">$40 Kindle book.</a> This is better. It's totally geeky and spiritual ... but then, actually, <a href="http://worldbga.blogspot.com/2016/12/huh.html" style="color:pink">so is Tim Ferris.</a> More to the point, it's completely sincere and completely ethical: no nasty tricks. Not even if they're funny. It is distinctly not very cool, or chique, where Tim is achingly cool and chique, so for that I'm not just abandoning Tim, but I do offer this. <span style="color:violet">I did The Abundance Course CD set, years ago, and it has always meant a lot to me. I never went beyond the first course. I'm ornery that way. But, I always practiced a little, and sometimes, like just these last few days, I get more into it again. Really getting into it. Looking up release technique on YouTube. Doing it myself. So nice!</span></div></div><a style="position:absolute;left:50%;top:50%;font-size:100px;color:violet" href="javascript:atnbg20161228w1543()">move this</a>
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I am experimenting with ... free web hosting. It's so liberating! I mean, there are no payments to keep up with, I don't have to worry about my stuff disappearing, and I can do anything I want. Also, there only on layer of technical mumbojumbo. By sprinkling a little JavaScript in my hand coded HTML with 100% inline styles (at the moment) I am positioning things on the page in, let us say, a nonstandard way. It happens to be a way that also pays a lot of attention to the screen space (or window space) ... and sort of ignores the scroll bar (but leaving it in place). So ... all the above advantages plus, funky results.

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funki

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<a href="https://www.amazon.com/Abundance-Book-Lawrence-Crane/dp/0971175500/ref=as_li_ss_il?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1482962262&sr=1-1&keywords=the+release+technique&linkCode=li1&tag=beadglit-20&linkId=79232061edd55fda578e792cfc3d7bde" target="_blank"><img border="0" src="//ws-na.amazon-adsystem.com/widgets/q?_encoding=UTF8&ASIN=0971175500&Format=_SL110_&ID=AsinImage&MarketPlace=US&ServiceVersion=20070822&WS=1&tag=beadglit-20" ></a><img src="https://ir-na.amazon-adsystem.com/e/ir?t=beadglit-20&l=li1&o=1&a=0971175500" width="1" height="1" border="0" alt="" style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" /></div>
<div style="bottom: 0%; color: burlywood; font-size: 7%; height: 50%; left: 25%; position: absolute; width: 75%;">
<a href="http://amzn.to/2iFGBly" style="color:lime" target="_blank">$40 Kindle book.</a> This is better. It's totally geeky and spiritual ... but then, actually, so is Tim Ferris. More to the point, it's completely sincere and completely ethical: no nasty tricks. Not even if they're funny. It is distinctly not very cool, or chique, where Tim is achingly cool and chique, so for that I'm not just abandoning Tim, but I do offer this. <span style="color:violet">I did The Abundance Course CD set, years ago, and it has always meant a lot to me. I never went beyond the first course. I'm ornery that way. But, I always practiced a little, and sometimes, like just these last few days, I get more into it again. Really getting into it. Looking up release technique on YouTube. Doing it myself. So nice!</span></div></div><a style="position:absolute;left:50%;top:50%;font-size:100px;color:violet" href="javascript:atnbg20161228w1543()">move this</a>
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var atnbg20161228w1543frame = document.getElementById("atnbg20161228w1543")
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if (parseFloat(frame.style.top) > -1) {frame.style.top = "-200px"} else {frame.style.top = "0px"}}
</script>

I am experimenting with ... free web hosting. It's so liberating! I mean, there are no payments to keep up with, I don't have to worry about my stuff disappearing, and I can do anything I want. Also, there only on layer of technical mumbojumbo. By sprinkling a little JavaScript in my hand coded HTML with 100% inline styles (at the moment) I am positioning things on the page in, let us say, a nonstandard way. It happens to be a way that also pays a lot of attention to the screen space (or window space) ... and sort of ignores the scroll bar (but leaving it in place). So ... all the above advantages plus, funky results.

move

Abundance

$40 Kindle book. This is better. It's totally geeky and spiritual ... but then, actually, so is Tim Ferris. More to the point, it's completely sincere and completely ethical: no nasty tricks. Not even if they're funny. It is distinctly not very cool, or chique, where Tim is achingly cool and chique, so for that I'm not just abandoning Tim, but I do offer this. I did The Abundance Course CD set, years ago, and it has always meant a lot to me. I never went beyond the first course. I'm ornery that way. But, I always practiced a little, and sometimes, like just these last few days, I get more into it again. Really getting into it. Looking up release technique on YouTube. Doing it myself. So nice!

move this

huh?

$15.99 Kindle book. Not actually sure I'm recommending it, but in the product description you can learn about The Tim Ferris show. I'm listening to this show right now, which is kind of horrible, but it is two hours of interesting conversation. What place does this kind of thing play in my life? I'm writing and listening ... and giving more attention to the writing. More inclined to refer you to Tim Sykes ... though, with caveats. Well, there are all sorts of directions we could go in. How do we figure this out?

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links

I am contacting you because I would like to build and release an SaaS app, and host it with you, but there are a number of things required that I don't know how to do. Basically I'm trying to figure out if web hosting support (yours being a possible example) offers assistance with that kind of question, or only with, lets say, bugs in the (your) customer's experience?

I kind of figure it has to be the former and I just need to figure out how to ask politely.

I do have a massive plan to help hundreds of millions of people achieve their goals using computers and the Internet, but at the moment the reason I want to build an SaaS app is to learn to build SaaS apps. There are many things I want my app to do, but, at the moment, I would just like it to do something ... really, anything at all.

Now, at this time, I am actually able to build things - on the Internet, even - that do things. This is not a question about just building something that does things, any things. This is a question about building SaaS apps. And, yes, I want my SaaS apps to do things (as opposed to not doing things), but, if they're SaaS apps, there are certain things they need to do to qualify as being such apps. So, while it's true that I am almost qualified to make things do things on the Internet, I am completely unqualified, as things stand, to do make things do SaaS app things on the Internet.

This raises the following question: what does an app need to do to qualify as an SaaS app? I like what this very very long article says about it. I don't know what kind of person could read this entire article, but I think this idea put forward in it that an SaaS app produces revenue sounds quite correct. I hereby rank that my first concern.

If we analyze this at its most fundamental level, it is true that this works in the following way: users give us revenue units, and our app, in exchange, provides them with a service, i.e., it does something for them. My number one concern, then, is integrally connected to another concern, which I don't want to call "number 2", but it's the other, that is, what the app does for users.

I am calling revenue generation my number 1 concern so that no one will accidentally call it the number 2 concern.

Now, it's all well and good to say "produces revenue", but what I want to shine a light on is the mechanics of that. Well, in a way the little system I just described is the mechanics of that, but it has two components. One sends the user a service, and the other collects from the user some revenue. As I say, I have some idea what to say about the service my app will deliver ... and, actually, I suppose, some idea what to say about how my app will collect revenue from users.

Uh oh. Trouble.

What I'm talking about in the last P above is the mechanics of, well, one or another thing. The problem is, when I think about the mechanics of getting users to send revenue my way, it starts to get really complicated pretty fast. Which, maybe, is just the way it is, but there's something ironic about it which rises to the level of being silliness on my part. I actually think I know how to generate revenue without all those complications. In fact, when I think about it, I don't even need to ask you how to do this, at all. Nor, in a sense, could I do so. Doing so falls into the class of things that one ought not even think about.

I must figure out how to get people to look at my Amazon links.

adap

Frantically writing and building lists, and trying to manage them, all day, and now, thinking "I really ought to pick a stock tonight ... but, how?" Deciding to go to the scan for Extreme Picks, and then look for ... something. Signs of an advance.

That would be ... OK, three soldiers patterns ... or I suppose any kind of bottom ... but those are a dime a dozen ... and I'm sometimes not sure how meaningful they are. Quickly scrolling through, as it turns out, a fair number of charts ... and then finding something. A gap.

Really, the gap is the signal of signals.

Wben one appears, it presages something. It's not a question of if or whether - I would go that far - but of what. At least, that's true in actively traded stocks coming out of basing patterns ... and I also mean gaps up ... although, in actively traded stocks with basing patterns, gaps down are meaningful. But gaps up ... they begin something. Sometimes that something is over, too, in the blink of an eye, but it's definitely also true that sometimes the gap is just the start of something ... something that's going to last a bit ... and be quite good.

So, twenty or so stocks, and then a gap. Just nudging up. Hard to see on the chart ... but I could see it. I took a closer look, and it looks really cool.

 

It would be a very reasonable place to buy, the bottom of a red bar, at the most microscopic scale, with a very comfortable, very close stop which is basically this morning's gap. Trading is rather placid, but it's a four dollar stock, so getting in for a few hundred shares shouldn't be a problem - or out again, if necessary. Basically 100% positive news, whether it's mind blowing or not, and a couple of good signs in the financial numbers, based on just a glance at them.

It is true we always have to consider - and certainly all the more so in a situation like this - whether the company might go into bankruptcy all of a sudden, not that it looks that way, or do a reverse split, not that it looks that way, but if one of those things happen and you have a large part of your money in this, it would be a hassle. And I don't know enough - or like it enough - to want to make a large commitment to it - I wouldn't want to, even if I could ... but I'd probably be inclined to place a bet, if I could do that.

I place the target at $7, with $9 also looking interesting, and I have a plan for updating that as the situation develops ... perhaps tomorrow, perhaps over the course of a number of days.

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We begin with a pattern that didn't double in a day, but it did nearly double in a month, back in February. Are there any clues here - we can only see a fragment of action prior to that rally ... Was there anything in the chart in February to tell us to buy?                 It's hindsight, of course, so of course there is, you could say. Well, at any rate at the very beginning of the chart there's a heel - the third bar in. A few days later it's a double heel.                   There were other interesting candles over the next two or three weeks, but, to simplify things, after the priced dipped below that first heel, well, first, they immediately jumped. You get some kind of bottom - the heel - and then after a while the price dips just below that bottom, and it makes a bottom there, and today I noticed quite a few that did that combination of things and then rallied. The second bottom, the one that just dipped lower, turn out to be a lasting bottom.                       So here, hypothetically, once that happened, with the big bounce following instantaneously, you could be buying at any reasonable price, and if it dips below the second bottom again, you have to sell. In this case the risk, applying that tactic, was about 20%, so, pretty significant.                               It's another obvious truth that isn't necessarily significant, but it's would arguably be possible to analyze things more closely and buy with a closer stop. In fact the example is illustrative, but I'll discuss that elsewhere. For now, if, just supposing, we had an idea of where this was headed, then the risk - reward ratio in this trade would have been sort of decent - the potential 20% loss vs the potential near 100% gain. But what could possibly have predicted exactly a double, here? Maybe something in the weekly chart?

It could be said there usually is something. There in the middle of the big collapse at the end of 2015 is a small hesitation, in December, around the $8 price.

The idea entered my mind to look at the monthly chart, to, just for the sake of thoroughness, and I'm kind of glad I did. It's just an interesting chart. Well, first off, there's the big trough, between the big 2011 top and the big 2015 top, and it certainly did jump out of that, making, incidentally, a higher bottom, a big broad one, centered around 2013, if you see what I'm saying, and then, and this is a little weird, as soon as, after the big top in 2015, it got back down in the vicinity of the tops in the trough, it started to bounce around up and down. Go figure. What do the tops in the trough have to do with the larger waves? But, I see this kind of thing all the time.                                     Can't pass up noting that the most recent bottom, which looks like it occurred August, maybe, just dipped below the earlier bottom from January and February. Hmm, on the weekly chart it appears to not have dipped lower, but on this monthly chart it appears to have done so. No, maybe I see it on the weekly now, and on the daily chart, too. It's kind of microscopic. Anyway, the question I'm asking is, is this a buy signal? Well the July bottom - turns out it was in July - now hold, and will prices now move up steadily, even dramatically, from where they are today?                                 This monthly chart distinctly predicts, from, you could say, a purely visual perspective, prices above the top of the chart, even far above the top of the chart, at some time in the future. It would be reckless of me to suggest even the top of the chart will likely be reached in any very short period of time, and caution, even just sense suggests it ought to take some years, even to reach $16 again, but I feel compelled to at least point out the possibility of a rather sharp increase rather soon, perhaps taking prices to near 16 somewhere, but not lastingly so. Maybe this is what I'm hoping for.                        But let's look at another thing, particularly because I see evidence of long term strength in this chart. For what it's worth, the fundamentals may confirm or deny that interpretation, but let's see.                         Consistent but very modest revenues, quarterly, the past 5 quarters, and consistently substantial losses, with the most recent being rather a whopper (and the others not quite that extreme). Consistently rather abundant current assets, and ... consistently rather substantial total liabilities ... and consistently very moderate current liabilities. This over five quarters.                                   The pattern kind of holds up over the last four years. Revenues do seem to be growing, and then on the balance sheet in past years they've had no debt, this last quarter they added a bunch.

Sigh.

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